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Suns vs Lakers prediction NBA · Monday, December 1

Finalcrypto.com Arena · Peacock, Spectrum Sports Net
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns
13-9 · away
Final score
125-108
Projected: 113-116
Los Angeles Lakers
Los Angeles Lakers
15-5 · home
41% win PHXwin LAL 59%
FavoriteLAL
Projected margin2.8
Projected total229
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Los Angeles Lakers (15-4) host the Phoenix Suns (12-9) on Monday, December 1 at 10:00 PM ET at crypto.com Arena in NBA action. Final score: Suns 125 – Lakers 108. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Lakers a 59% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Lakers are 7-2 at home and the Suns are 4-5 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Lakers and 6-4 for the Suns (current streaks: Lakers W7, Suns L2).

The analysis Model

The Lakers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Lakers 116 – 113 Suns, a margin of about 2.8 points in favor of the Lakers and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Lakers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Suns need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Lakers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAL +2.6 / PHX +0.5 per game
+2.1
Home-court advantageLakers at home
+2.3
Back-to-backLakers played yesterday
-1.6
Expected marginfor Lakers
+2.8

Scenarios

Lakers win by 10+
28%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Suns win by 10+
15%

Stat comparison Current season

PHXLAL
115.6
Points scored / game
117.2
114.9
Points allowed / game
114.1
45.6 %
Field goal %
52.9 %
31.9 %
3-point %
39.2 %
39.7
3-pointers attempted / game
36.2
73.9 %
Free throw %
79.1 %
39.7
Rebounds / game
38.0
25.3
Assists / game
24.0
8.7
Steals / game
10.8
5.3
Blocks / game
5.8
14.0
Turnovers / game
16.6

Top performers

Suns
Dillon BrooksF · #333pts / game
Royce O'NealeF · #0011assists
Ryan DunnF · #08rebounds
Lakers
Luka DoncicG · #7738pts / game
Luka DoncicG · #775assists
Luka DoncicG · #7711rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
PHX
No games played yet.
LAL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

PHXLAL
12-9Record15-4
115.6Points scored / game117.2
114.9Points allowed / game114.1
+0.5Adjusted margin / game+2.6
L2Current streakW7
6-4Last 10 games8-2
4-5 roadHome / road record7-2 home
36-46 (-3.0)Last season50-32 (+1.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

Phoenix Suns Injury report Suns

No injuries reported.

Los Angeles Lakers Injury report Lakers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.