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Timberwolves vs Warriors prediction NBA · Friday, December 12

FinalChase Center · NBA TV, NBC Sports BA, FanDuel SN North
50% win MINwin GS 50%
FavoriteGS
Projected margin0.0
Projected total228
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Golden State Warriors (13-12) host the Minnesota Timberwolves (15-9) on Friday, December 12 at 10:00 PM ET at Chase Center in NBA action. Final score: Timberwolves 127 – Warriors 120. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Warriors a 50% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Warriors are 7-3 at home and the Timberwolves are 7-5 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Warriors and 6-4 for the Timberwolves (current streaks: Warriors W2, Timberwolves L1).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Warriors 115 – 114 Timberwolves, a margin of about 0.0 points in favor of the Warriors and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Timberwolves need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Timberwolves' offense (117.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Warriors
Team strength (adjusted point differential)GS +1.9 / MIN +4.2 per game
-2.3
Home-court advantageWarriors at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Warriors
+0.0

Scenarios

Warriors win by 10+
21%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Timberwolves win by 10+
21%

Stat comparison Current season

MINGS
117.8
Points scored / game
113.6
112.9
Points allowed / game
111.3
47.3 %
Field goal %
45.0 %
38.4 %
3-point %
36.9 %
40.6
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
62.7 %
Free throw %
82.2 %
51.6
Rebounds / game
43.8
27.0
Assists / game
25.6
9.2
Steals / game
9.6
4.4
Blocks / game
3.8
16.2
Turnovers / game
16.8

Top performers

Timberwolves
Julius RandleF · #3027pts / game
Naz ReidC · #07assists
Rudy GobertC · #2714rebounds
Warriors
Stephen CurryG · #3039pts / game
Stephen CurryG · #305assists
Jimmy Butler IIIF · #108rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MIN
No games played yet.
GS
No games played yet.

Team comparison

MINGS
15-9Record13-12
117.8Points scored / game113.6
112.9Points allowed / game111.3
+4.2Adjusted margin / game+1.9
L1Current streakW2
6-4Last 10 games4-6
7-5 roadHome / road record7-3 home
49-33 (+5.0)Last season48-34 (+3.3)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Minnesota Timberwolves Injury report Timberwolves

No injuries reported.

Golden State Warriors Injury report Warriors

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.