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Timberwolves vs Warriors prediction NBA · Friday, March 13

FinalChase Center · Prime Video, NBC Sports BA
49% win MINwin GS 51%
FavoriteGS
Projected margin0.3
Projected total230
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Golden State Warriors (32-33) host the Minnesota Timberwolves (40-26) on Friday, March 13 at 10:00 PM ET at Chase Center in NBA action. Final score: Timberwolves 127 – Warriors 117. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Warriors a 51% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Warriors are 19-14 at home and the Timberwolves are 18-14 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Warriors and 6-4 for the Timberwolves (current streaks: Warriors L3, Timberwolves L3).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Warriors 116 – 115 Timberwolves, a margin of about 0.3 points in favor of the Warriors and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Timberwolves need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Warriors
Team strength (adjusted point differential)GS +1.1 / MIN +3.1 per game
-2.0
Home-court advantageWarriors at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Warriors
+0.3

Scenarios

Warriors win by 10+
22%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Timberwolves win by 10+
20%

Stat comparison Current season

MINGS
117.9
Points scored / game
115.0
114.2
Points allowed / game
113.6
47.3 %
Field goal %
45.0 %
38.4 %
3-point %
36.9 %
40.6
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
62.7 %
Free throw %
82.2 %
51.6
Rebounds / game
43.8
27.0
Assists / game
25.6
9.2
Steals / game
9.6
4.4
Blocks / game
3.8
16.2
Turnovers / game
16.8

Top performers

Timberwolves
Anthony EdwardsG · #542pts / game
Ayo DosunmuG · #137assists
Rudy GobertC · #279rebounds
Warriors
Brandin PodziemskiG · #225pts / game
Gui SantosF · #158assists
Brandin PodziemskiG · #210rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MIN
No games played yet.
GS
No games played yet.

Team comparison

MINGS
40-26Record32-33
117.9Points scored / game115.0
114.2Points allowed / game113.6
+3.1Adjusted margin / game+1.1
L3Current streakL3
6-4Last 10 games3-7
18-14 roadHome / road record19-14 home
49-33 (+5.0)Last season48-34 (+3.3)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Minnesota Timberwolves Injury report Timberwolves

No injuries reported.

Golden State Warriors Injury report Warriors

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.