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Warriors vs Timberwolves prediction NBA · Saturday, January 24

FinalTarget Center
37% win GSwin MIN 63%
FavoriteMIN
Projected margin4.1
Projected total231
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Minnesota Timberwolves (27-18) host the Golden State Warriors (25-21) on Saturday, January 24 at 5:30 PM ET at Target Center in NBA action. Final score: Warriors 0 – Timberwolves 0. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Timberwolves a 63% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Timberwolves are 15-7 at home and the Warriors are 8-14 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Timberwolves and 6-4 for the Warriors (current streaks: Timberwolves L4, Warriors L2).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Timberwolves, but the Warriors have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Timberwolves 118 – 114 Warriors, a margin of about 4.1 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Warriors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Timberwolves
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MIN +4.2 / GS +2.4 per game
+1.8
Home-court advantageTimberwolves at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Timberwolves
+4.1

Scenarios

Timberwolves win by 10+
32%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Warriors win by 10+
13%

Stat comparison Current season

GSMIN
116.2
Points scored / game
118.8
113.4
Points allowed / game
113.9
45.0 %
Field goal %
47.3 %
36.9 %
3-point %
38.4 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
40.6
82.2 %
Free throw %
62.7 %
43.8
Rebounds / game
51.6
25.6
Assists / game
27.0
9.6
Steals / game
9.2
3.8
Blocks / game
4.4
16.8
Turnovers / game
16.2

Top performers

Warriors
No data yet.
Timberwolves
No data yet.

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
GS
No games played yet.
MIN
No games played yet.

Team comparison

GSMIN
25-21Record27-18
116.2Points scored / game118.8
113.4Points allowed / game113.9
+2.4Adjusted margin / game+4.2
L2Current streakL4
6-4Last 10 games5-5
8-14 roadHome / road record15-7 home
48-34 (+3.3)Last season49-33 (+5.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Golden State Warriors Injury report Warriors

No injuries reported.

Minnesota Timberwolves Injury report Timberwolves

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.