Warriors vs Timberwolves prediction NBA · Monday, January 26


At a glance
The Minnesota Timberwolves (27-19) host the Golden State Warriors (26-21) on Monday, January 26 at 9:30 PM ET at Target Center in NBA action. Final score: Warriors 83 – Timberwolves 108. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Timberwolves a 60% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Timberwolves are 15-8 at home and the Warriors are 9-14 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Timberwolves and 7-3 for the Warriors (current streaks: Timberwolves L5, Warriors W1).
The analysis Model
The Timberwolves are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Timberwolves 116 – 113 Warriors, a margin of about 3.3 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Timberwolves and the Warriors played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The Warriors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
GSMIN
Top performers
Warriors
Quinten PostC · #4113pts / game
Pat SpencerG · #616assists
Gui SantosF · #1510rebounds
Timberwolves
Julius RandleF · #3018pts / game
Donte DiVincenzoG · #08assists
Rudy GobertC · #2717reboundsRecent form
GS
MINHead-to-head
MIN lead 3-2 this season.
Team comparison
| GS | MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-21 | Record | 27-19 |
| 116.1 | Points scored / game | 118.2 |
| 112.9 | Points allowed / game | 113.8 |
| +2.7 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.7 |
| W1 | Current streak | L5 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 4-6 |
| 9-14 road | Home / road record | 15-8 home |
| 48-34 (+3.3) | Last season | 49-33 (+5.0) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Warriors
Injury report Timberwolves
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.
MIN