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Nets vs Raptors prediction NBA · Friday, October 17

FinalScotiabank Arena · TSN, YES, NBA League Pass, DAZN (YES)
Brooklyn Nets
Brooklyn Nets
2-2 · away
Final score
114-119
Projected: 108-113
Toronto Raptors
Toronto Raptors
4-2 · home
35% win BKNwin TOR 65%
FavoriteTOR
Projected margin4.7
Projected total222
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Toronto Raptors host the Brooklyn Nets on Friday, October 17 at 7:00 PM ET at Scotiabank Arena in NBA action. Final score: Nets 114 – Raptors 119. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Raptors a 65% chance to win: prediction correct.

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Raptors, but the Nets have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Raptors 113 – 108 Nets, a margin of about 4.7 points in favor of the Raptors and a total around 222 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Raptors' offense (110.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Raptors
Team strength (adjusted point differential)TOR -3.6 / BKN -6.0 per game
+2.4
Home-court advantageRaptors at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Raptors
+4.7

Scenarios

Raptors win by 10+
34%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Nets win by 10+
12%

Stat comparison Current season

BKNTOR
105.1
Points scored / game
110.9
112.2
Points allowed / game
115.2
42.9 %
Field goal %
44.2 %
36.7 %
3-point %
30.4 %
42.3
3-pointers attempted / game
34.5
76.6 %
Free throw %
79.0 %
43.5
Rebounds / game
45.8
24.0
Assists / game
27.3
10.0
Steals / game
14.3
4.0
Blocks / game
5.5
17.5
Turnovers / game
14.0

Top performers

Nets
Michael Porter Jr.F · #1734pts / game
Cam ThomasG · #246assists
Nic ClaxtonC · #911rebounds
Raptors
Scottie BarnesF · #431pts / game
Immanuel QuickleyG · #510assists
Jakob PoeltlC · #1910rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
BKN
No games played yet.
TOR
No games played yet.

Team comparison

BKNTOR
2-2Record4-2
105.1Points scored / game110.9
112.2Points allowed / game115.2
-6.0Adjusted margin / game-3.6
–Current streak–
–Last 10 games–
–Home / road record–
26-56 (-7.1)Last season30-52 (-4.3)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Brooklyn Nets Injury report Nets

No injuries reported.

Toronto Raptors Injury report Raptors

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.