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Nets vs Raptors prediction NBA · Sunday, April 12

FinalScotiabank Arena · Sportsnet, YES, NBA League Pass, DAZN (YES)
Brooklyn Nets
Brooklyn Nets
20-62 · away
Final score
101-136
Projected: 106-118
Toronto Raptors
Toronto Raptors
46-36 · home
18% win BKNwin TOR 82%
FavoriteTOR
Projected margin11.6
Projected total224
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Toronto Raptors (45-36) host the Brooklyn Nets (20-61) on Sunday, April 12 at 6:00 PM ET at Scotiabank Arena in NBA action. Final score: Nets 101 – Raptors 136. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Raptors a 82% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Raptors are 23-17 at home and the Nets are 8-32 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Raptors and 3-7 for the Nets (current streaks: Raptors L1, Nets L2).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Raptors dominate this matchup. The model projects Raptors 118 – 106 Nets, a margin of about 11.6 points in favor of the Raptors and a total around 224 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (+1.3 vs -7.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Raptors' offense (113.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Raptors
Team strength (adjusted point differential)TOR +1.3 / BKN -7.9 per game
+9.3
Home-court advantageRaptors at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Raptors
+11.6

Scenarios

Raptors win by 10+
55%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
21%
Nets win by 10+
4%

Stat comparison Current season

BKNTOR
105.9
Points scored / game
113.9
115.2
Points allowed / game
112.4
42.9 %
Field goal %
44.2 %
36.7 %
3-point %
30.4 %
42.3
3-pointers attempted / game
34.5
76.6 %
Free throw %
79.0 %
43.5
Rebounds / game
45.8
24.0
Assists / game
27.3
10.0
Steals / game
14.3
4.0
Blocks / game
5.5
17.5
Turnovers / game
14.0

Top performers

Nets
Tyson EtienneG · #1020pts / game
Malachi SmithG · #186assists
Chaney JohnsonF · #3113rebounds
Raptors
RJ BarrettF · #926pts / game
Scottie BarnesF · #412assists
Scottie BarnesF · #412rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
BKN
No games played yet.
TOR
No games played yet.

Team comparison

BKNTOR
20-61Record45-36
105.9Points scored / game113.9
115.2Points allowed / game112.4
-7.9Adjusted margin / game+1.3
L2Current streakL1
3-7Last 10 games5-5
8-32 roadHome / road record23-17 home
26-56 (-7.1)Last season30-52 (-4.3)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Brooklyn Nets Injury report Nets

No injuries reported.

Toronto Raptors Injury report Raptors

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.