Raptors vs Nets prediction NBA · Sunday, December 21
At a glance
The Brooklyn Nets (7-19) host the Toronto Raptors (17-12) on Sunday, December 21 at 6:00 PM ET at Barclays Center in NBA action. Final score: Raptors 81 – Nets 96. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Raptors a 54% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Nets are 3-11 at home and the Raptors are 9-5 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Nets and 3-7 for the Raptors (current streaks: Nets L1, Raptors L1).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Nets 111 – 112 Raptors, a margin of about 1.4 points in favor of the Raptors and a total around 223 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Raptors played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (-5.3 vs -0.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Raptors' offense (113.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
TORBKN
Top performers
Raptors
Brandon IngramF · #719pts / game
Immanuel QuickleyG · #510assists
Scottie BarnesF · #46rebounds
Nets
Michael Porter Jr.F · #1724pts / game
Terance MannG · #147assists
Michael Porter Jr.F · #1711reboundsRecent form
TOR
BKNHead-to-head
TOR lead 3-1 this season.
Team comparison
| TOR | BKN | |
|---|---|---|
| 17-12 | Record | 7-19 |
| 113.5 | Points scored / game | 108.2 |
| 113.6 | Points allowed / game | 114.5 |
| -0.1 | Adjusted margin / game | -5.3 |
| L1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 games | 4-6 |
| 9-5 road | Home / road record | 3-11 home |
| 30-52 (-4.3) | Last season | 26-56 (-7.1) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Raptors
Injury report Nets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.
TOR