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Raptors vs Nets prediction NBA · Sunday, December 21

FinalBarclays Center · YES, DAZN (YES), TSN, NBA League Pass
54% win TORwin BKN 46%
FavoriteTOR
Projected margin1.4
Projected total223
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Brooklyn Nets (7-19) host the Toronto Raptors (17-12) on Sunday, December 21 at 6:00 PM ET at Barclays Center in NBA action. Final score: Raptors 81 – Nets 96. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Raptors a 54% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Nets are 3-11 at home and the Raptors are 9-5 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Nets and 3-7 for the Raptors (current streaks: Nets L1, Raptors L1).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Nets 111 – 112 Raptors, a margin of about 1.4 points in favor of the Raptors and a total around 223 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Raptors played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The overall strength gap (-5.3 vs -0.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Raptors' offense (113.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Nets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BKN -5.3 / TOR -0.1 per game
-5.3
Home-court advantageNets at home
+2.3
Back-to-backRaptors played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Nets
-1.4

Scenarios

Nets win by 10+
18%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Raptors win by 10+
25%

Stat comparison Current season

TORBKN
113.5
Points scored / game
108.2
113.6
Points allowed / game
114.5
44.2 %
Field goal %
42.9 %
30.4 %
3-point %
36.7 %
34.5
3-pointers attempted / game
42.3
79.0 %
Free throw %
76.6 %
45.8
Rebounds / game
43.5
27.3
Assists / game
24.0
14.3
Steals / game
10.0
5.5
Blocks / game
4.0
14.0
Turnovers / game
17.5

Top performers

Raptors
Brandon IngramF · #719pts / game
Immanuel QuickleyG · #510assists
Scottie BarnesF · #46rebounds
Nets
Michael Porter Jr.F · #1724pts / game
Terance MannG · #147assists
Michael Porter Jr.F · #1711rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
TOR
No games played yet.
BKN
No games played yet.

Team comparison

TORBKN
17-12Record7-19
113.5Points scored / game108.2
113.6Points allowed / game114.5
-0.1Adjusted margin / game-5.3
L1Current streakL1
3-7Last 10 games4-6
9-5 roadHome / road record3-11 home
30-52 (-4.3)Last season26-56 (-7.1)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

Toronto Raptors Injury report Raptors

No injuries reported.

Brooklyn Nets Injury report Nets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.