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Raptors vs Nets prediction NBA · Tuesday, November 11

FinalBarclays Center · YES, DAZN (YES), Sportsnet, NBA League Pass
Toronto Raptors
Toronto Raptors
6-5 · away
Final score
119-109
Projected: 117-111
Brooklyn Nets
Brooklyn Nets
1-10 · home
68% win TORwin BKN 32%
FavoriteTOR
Projected margin5.8
Projected total228
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Brooklyn Nets (1-9) host the Toronto Raptors (5-5) on Tuesday, November 11 at 7:30 PM ET at Barclays Center in NBA action. Final score: Raptors 119 – Nets 109. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Raptors a 68% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Nets are 0-5 at home and the Raptors are 3-3 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 1-9 for the Nets and 5-5 for the Raptors (current streaks: Nets L2, Raptors L1).

The analysis Model

The Raptors are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Nets 111 – 117 Raptors, a margin of about 5.8 points in favor of the Raptors and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (-9.3 vs -1.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Raptors' offense (114.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Nets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BKN -9.3 / TOR -1.1 per game
-8.1
Home-court advantageNets at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Nets
-5.8

Scenarios

Nets win by 10+
10%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
28%
Raptors win by 10+
37%

Stat comparison Current season

TORBKN
114.7
Points scored / game
107.3
116.0
Points allowed / game
118.3
44.2 %
Field goal %
42.9 %
30.4 %
3-point %
36.7 %
34.5
3-pointers attempted / game
42.3
79.0 %
Free throw %
76.6 %
45.8
Rebounds / game
43.5
27.3
Assists / game
24.0
14.3
Steals / game
10.0
5.5
Blocks / game
4.0
14.0
Turnovers / game
17.5

Top performers

Raptors
Brandon IngramF · #725pts / game
RJ BarrettF · #96assists
Scottie BarnesF · #411rebounds
Nets
Nic ClaxtonC · #921pts / game
Egor DeminG · #85assists
Nic ClaxtonC · #98rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
TOR
No games played yet.
BKN
No games played yet.

Team comparison

TORBKN
5-5Record1-9
114.7Points scored / game107.3
116.0Points allowed / game118.3
-1.1Adjusted margin / game-9.3
L1Current streakL2
5-5Last 10 games1-9
3-3 roadHome / road record0-5 home
30-52 (-4.3)Last season26-56 (-7.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Toronto Raptors Injury report Raptors

No injuries reported.

Brooklyn Nets Injury report Nets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.