Raptors vs Celtics prediction NBA · Wednesday, October 15
At a glance
The Boston Celtics host the Toronto Raptors on Wednesday, October 15 at 7:30 PM ET at TD Garden in NBA action. Final score: Raptors 108 – Celtics 110. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 86% chance to win: prediction correct.
The analysis Model
On paper, the Celtics dominate this matchup. The model projects Celtics 119 – 106 Raptors, a margin of about 13.7 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 225 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (+7.7 vs -3.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Raptors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Celtics' offense (116.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (107.2 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
TORBOS
Top performers
Raptors
Brandon IngramF · #720pts / game
Jamal SheadG · #237assistsBrandon IngramF · #710reboundsCeltics
Derrick WhiteG · #933pts / game
Payton PritchardG · #1110assists
Neemias QuetaC · #8812reboundsRecent form
TORBOSHead-to-head
BOS lead 4-0 this season.
BOS
Team comparison
| TOR | BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | Record | 3-1 |
| 110.9 | Points scored / game | 116.3 |
| 115.2 | Points allowed / game | 107.2 |
| -3.6 | Adjusted margin / game | +7.7 |
| – | Current streak | – |
| – | Last 10 games | – |
| – | Home / road record | – |
| 30-52 (-4.3) | Last season | 61-21 (+9.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Raptors
Injury report Celtics
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.