Raptors vs Celtics prediction NBA · Friday, January 9
At a glance
The Boston Celtics (23-13) host the Toronto Raptors (23-15) on Friday, January 9 at 7:00 PM ET at TD Garden in NBA action. Final score: Raptors 117 – Celtics 125. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 74% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Celtics are 11-6 at home and the Raptors are 11-7 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Celtics and 6-4 for the Raptors (current streaks: Celtics L1, Raptors W3).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Celtics dominate this matchup. The model projects Celtics 117 – 109 Raptors, a margin of about 8.2 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+6.4 vs +0.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Raptors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Celtics' offense (117.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
TORBOS
Top performers
Raptors
Ja'Kobe WalterG · #1419pts / game
Immanuel QuickleyG · #513assists
Sandro MamukelashviliF · #548reboundsCeltics
Payton PritchardG · #1127pts / gamePayton PritchardG · #118assists
Jaylen BrownG · #78reboundsRecent form
TORBOSHead-to-head
BOS lead 4-0 this season.
BOS
Team comparison
| TOR | BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-15 | Record | 23-13 |
| 113.3 | Points scored / game | 117.2 |
| 112.7 | Points allowed / game | 109.7 |
| +0.5 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.4 |
| W3 | Current streak | L1 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 8-2 |
| 11-7 road | Home / road record | 11-6 home |
| 30-52 (-4.3) | Last season | 61-21 (+9.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Raptors
Injury report Celtics
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.