Raptors vs Celtics prediction NBA · Sunday, April 5
At a glance
The Boston Celtics (52-25) host the Toronto Raptors (43-34) on Sunday, April 5 at 3:30 PM ET at TD Garden in NBA action. Final score: Raptors 101 – Celtics 115. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 73% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Celtics are 26-11 at home and the Raptors are 22-17 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Celtics and 5-5 for the Raptors (current streaks: Celtics W2, Raptors W1).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Celtics dominate this matchup. The model projects Celtics 116 – 108 Raptors, a margin of about 7.6 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 224 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+6.6 vs +1.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Raptors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (107.1 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
TORBOS
Top performers
Raptors
Ja'Kobe WalterG · #1416pts / game
Scottie BarnesF · #48assistsScottie BarnesF · #46reboundsCeltics
Jaylen BrownG · #726pts / game
Jayson TatumF · #07assistsJayson TatumF · #013reboundsRecent form
TORBOSHead-to-head
BOS lead 4-0 this season.
BOS
Team comparison
| TOR | BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| 43-34 | Record | 52-25 |
| 114.0 | Points scored / game | 114.9 |
| 112.5 | Points allowed / game | 107.1 |
| +1.3 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.6 |
| W1 | Current streak | W2 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 8-2 |
| 22-17 road | Home / road record | 26-11 home |
| 30-52 (-4.3) | Last season | 61-21 (+9.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Raptors
Injury report Celtics
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.