Celtics vs Raptors prediction NBA · Saturday, December 20
At a glance
The Toronto Raptors (17-11) host the Boston Celtics (16-11) on Saturday, December 20 at 7:00 PM ET at Scotiabank Arena in NBA action. Final score: Celtics 112 – Raptors 96. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 55% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Raptors are 8-6 at home and the Celtics are 7-6 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Raptors and 7-3 for the Celtics (current streaks: Raptors W2, Celtics W1).
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Raptors 112 – 113 Celtics, a margin of about 1.5 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 225 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Celtics played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+0.3 vs +5.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Raptors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
BOSTOR
Top performers
Celtics
Payton PritchardG · #1133pts / gamePayton PritchardG · #1110assists
Luka GarzaC · #5210reboundsRaptors
Sandro MamukelashviliF · #5424pts / game
Brandon IngramF · #77assists
Scottie BarnesF · #49reboundsRecent form
BOSTORHead-to-head
BOS lead 4-0 this season.
BOS
Team comparison
| BOS | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 16-11 | Record | 17-11 |
| 116.5 | Points scored / game | 113.9 |
| 109.8 | Points allowed / game | 113.6 |
| +5.7 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.3 |
| W1 | Current streak | W2 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 4-6 |
| 7-6 road | Home / road record | 8-6 home |
| 61-21 (+9.1) | Last season | 30-52 (-4.3) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Celtics
Injury report Raptors
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.