Mavericks vs Jazz prediction NBA · Monday, October 13
At a glance
The Utah Jazz host the Dallas Mavericks on Monday, October 13 at 9:00 PM ET at Delta Center in NBA action. Final score: Mavericks 114 – Jazz 101. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Mavericks a 64% chance to win: prediction correct.
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Mavericks, but the Jazz have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Jazz 113 – 118 Mavericks, a margin of about 4.6 points in favor of the Mavericks and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (-7.9 vs -1.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Mavericks' defense allows clearly fewer points (115.4 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DALUTAH
Top performers
Mavericks
Anthony DavisF · #2325pts / game
Ryan NembhardG · #912assists
Cooper FlaggF · #327reboundsJazz
Brice SensabaughF · #2816pts / game
Walter Clayton Jr.G · #17assists
Jusuf NurkicC · #3015reboundsRecent form
DALUTAHHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
DAL
Team comparison
| DAL | UTAH | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | Record | 0-3 |
| 114.2 | Points scored / game | 111.9 |
| 115.4 | Points allowed / game | 121.2 |
| -1.0 | Adjusted margin / game | -7.9 |
| – | Current streak | – |
| – | Last 10 games | – |
| – | Home / road record | – |
| 39-43 (-1.2) | Last season | 17-65 (-9.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Mavericks
Injury report Jazz
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.