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Mavericks vs Jazz prediction NBA · Thursday, January 8

FinalDelta Center · KFAA-TV, MavsTV, NBA League Pass, KJZZ-TV, Jazz+
Dallas Mavericks
Dallas Mavericks
14-24 · away
Final score
114-116
Projected: 119-116
Utah Jazz
Utah Jazz
13-24 · home
60% win DALwin UTAH 40%
FavoriteDAL
Projected margin3.2
Projected total235
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Utah Jazz (12-24) host the Dallas Mavericks (14-23) on Thursday, January 8 at 9:00 PM ET at Delta Center in NBA action. Final score: Mavericks 114 – Jazz 116. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Mavericks a 60% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Jazz are 8-11 at home and the Mavericks are 4-13 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Jazz and 4-6 for the Mavericks (current streaks: Jazz L5, Mavericks W2).

The analysis Model

The Mavericks are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Jazz 116 – 119 Mavericks, a margin of about 3.2 points in favor of the Mavericks and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Jazz played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Jazz's offense (117.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Mavericks' defense allows clearly fewer points (116.6 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Jazz
Team strength (adjusted point differential)UTAH -6.7 / DAL -2.7 per game
-3.9
Home-court advantageJazz at home
+2.3
Back-to-backJazz played yesterday
-1.6
Expected marginfor Jazz
-3.2

Scenarios

Jazz win by 10+
14%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Mavericks win by 10+
29%

Stat comparison Current season

DALUTAH
113.4
Points scored / game
117.8
116.6
Points allowed / game
125.6
49.0 %
Field goal %
45.4 %
34.6 %
3-point %
33.9 %
38.2
3-pointers attempted / game
34.8
76.7 %
Free throw %
76.6 %
44.2
Rebounds / game
46.8
27.6
Assists / game
26.8
9.0
Steals / game
5.0
7.4
Blocks / game
6.4
15.6
Turnovers / game
17.0

Top performers

Mavericks
Cooper FlaggF · #3226pts / game
Cooper FlaggF · #328assists
Anthony DavisF · #2311rebounds
Jazz
Lauri MarkkanenF · #2333pts / game
Keyonte GeorgeG · #37assists
Kevin LoveF · #4210rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
DAL
No games played yet.
UTAH
No games played yet.

Team comparison

DALUTAH
14-23Record12-24
113.4Points scored / game117.8
116.6Points allowed / game125.6
-2.7Adjusted margin / game-6.7
W2Current streakL5
4-6Last 10 games2-8
4-13 roadHome / road record8-11 home
39-43 (-1.2)Last season17-65 (-9.3)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

Dallas Mavericks Injury report Mavericks

No injuries reported.

Utah Jazz Injury report Jazz

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.