Mavericks vs Jazz prediction NBA · Monday, December 15
At a glance
The Utah Jazz (9-15) host the Dallas Mavericks (10-16) on Monday, December 15 at 9:00 PM ET at Delta Center in NBA action. Final score: Mavericks 133 – Jazz 140. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Mavericks a 57% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Jazz are 6-7 at home and the Mavericks are 3-7 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Jazz and 6-4 for the Mavericks (current streaks: Jazz W1, Mavericks W2).
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Jazz 116 – 118 Mavericks, a margin of about 2.2 points in favor of the Mavericks and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-7.0 vs -2.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Jazz's offense (116.0 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Mavericks' defense allows clearly fewer points (115.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DALUTAH
Top performers
Mavericks
Cooper FlaggF · #3242pts / game
Ryan NembhardG · #911assists
P.J. WashingtonF · #2514reboundsJazz
Keyonte GeorgeG · #337pts / game
Isaiah CollierG · #88assists
Lauri MarkkanenF · #2316reboundsRecent form
DALUTAHHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
DAL
Team comparison
| DAL | UTAH | |
|---|---|---|
| 10-16 | Record | 9-15 |
| 112.8 | Points scored / game | 116.0 |
| 115.8 | Points allowed / game | 124.3 |
| -2.5 | Adjusted margin / game | -7.0 |
| W2 | Current streak | W1 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 4-6 |
| 3-7 road | Home / road record | 6-7 home |
| 39-43 (-1.2) | Last season | 17-65 (-9.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Mavericks
Injury report Jazz
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.