Jazz vs Mavericks prediction NBA · Saturday, January 17
At a glance
The Dallas Mavericks (16-26) host the Utah Jazz (14-27) on Saturday, January 17 at 5:00 PM ET at American Airlines Center in NBA action. Final score: Jazz 120 – Mavericks 138. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Mavericks a 71% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Mavericks are 12-11 at home and the Jazz are 5-15 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Mavericks and 2-8 for the Jazz (current streaks: Mavericks W1, Jazz L2).
The analysis Model
The Mavericks are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Mavericks 122 – 115 Jazz, a margin of about 6.9 points in favor of the Mavericks and a total around 237 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-2.4 vs -7.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Jazz's offense (117.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Mavericks' defense allows clearly fewer points (116.6 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
UTAHDAL
Top performers
Jazz
Keyonte GeorgeG · #329pts / game
Walter Clayton Jr.G · #18assists
Kyle FilipowskiF · #212reboundsMavericks
Klay ThompsonG · #1123pts / game
Naji MarshallF · #36assists
Moussa CisseC · #3010reboundsRecent form
UTAHDALHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
DAL
Team comparison
| UTAH | DAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 14-27 | Record | 16-26 |
| 117.7 | Points scored / game | 113.7 |
| 126.0 | Points allowed / game | 116.6 |
| -7.1 | Adjusted margin / game | -2.4 |
| L2 | Current streak | W1 |
| 2-8 | Last 10 games | 4-6 |
| 5-15 road | Home / road record | 12-11 home |
| 17-65 (-9.3) | Last season | 39-43 (-1.2) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Jazz
Injury report Mavericks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.