Jazz vs Mavericks prediction NBA · Thursday, January 15
At a glance
The Dallas Mavericks (15-26) host the Utah Jazz (14-26) on Thursday, January 15 at 8:30 PM ET at American Airlines Center in NBA action. Final score: Jazz 122 – Mavericks 144. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Mavericks a 69% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Mavericks are 11-11 at home and the Jazz are 5-14 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Mavericks and 3-7 for the Jazz (current streaks: Mavericks L1, Jazz L1).
The analysis Model
The Mavericks are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Mavericks 121 – 114 Jazz, a margin of about 6.3 points in favor of the Mavericks and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Mavericks and the Jazz played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (-2.8 vs -6.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Jazz's offense (117.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Mavericks' defense allows clearly fewer points (116.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
UTAHDAL
Top performers
Jazz
Brice SensabaughF · #2827pts / game
Isaiah CollierG · #812assists
Cody WilliamsF · #96reboundsMavericks
Klay ThompsonG · #1126pts / game
Ryan NembhardG · #910assists
Moussa CisseC · #3013reboundsRecent form
UTAHDALHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
DAL
Team comparison
| UTAH | DAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 14-26 | Record | 15-26 |
| 117.6 | Points scored / game | 113.2 |
| 125.6 | Points allowed / game | 116.5 |
| -6.9 | Adjusted margin / game | -2.8 |
| L1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 games | 3-7 |
| 5-14 road | Home / road record | 11-11 home |
| 17-65 (-9.3) | Last season | 39-43 (-1.2) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Jazz
Injury report Mavericks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.