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Kings vs Trail Blazers prediction NBA · Friday, October 10

FinalModa Center · Kings.com, NBA League Pass, BlazerVision
52% win SACwin POR 48%
FavoriteSAC
Projected margin0.6
Projected total228
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Portland Trail Blazers host the Sacramento Kings on Friday, October 10 at 10:00 PM ET at Moda Center in NBA action. Final score: Kings 123 – Trail Blazers 124. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Kings a 52% chance to win: prediction missed.

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Trail Blazers 114 – 115 Kings, a margin of about 0.6 points in favor of the Kings and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Kings' offense (115.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Trail Blazers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)POR -2.5 / SAC +0.4 per game
-2.9
Home-court advantageTrail Blazers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Trail Blazers
-0.6

Scenarios

Trail Blazers win by 10+
20%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Kings win by 10+
23%

Stat comparison Current season

SACPOR
115.7
Points scored / game
110.9
115.3
Points allowed / game
113.9
44.5 %
Field goal %
51.1 %
30.0 %
3-point %
38.9 %
32.5
3-pointers attempted / game
43.7
73.1 %
Free throw %
70.8 %
41.5
Rebounds / game
46.3
22.8
Assists / game
30.7
6.8
Steals / game
8.3
2.5
Blocks / game
2.7
14.3
Turnovers / game
13.3

Top performers

Kings
Zach LaVineG · #819pts / game
Maxime RaynaudC · #424assists
Keegan MurrayF · #135rebounds
Trail Blazers
Jerami GrantF · #318pts / game
Jrue HolidayG · #53assists
Donovan ClinganC · #238rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
SAC
No games played yet.
POR
No games played yet.

Team comparison

SACPOR
0-2Record1-1
115.7Points scored / game110.9
115.3Points allowed / game113.9
+0.4Adjusted margin / game-2.5
–Current streak–
–Last 10 games–
–Home / road record–
40-42 (+0.5)Last season36-46 (-3.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Sacramento Kings Injury report Kings

No injuries reported.

Portland Trail Blazers Injury report Trail Blazers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.