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Trail Blazers vs Kings prediction NBA · Sunday, January 18

FinalGolden 1 Center · KUNP 16, BlazerVision, NBA League Pass, NBC Sports CA
52% win PORwin SAC 48%
FavoritePOR
Projected margin0.6
Projected total230
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Sacramento Kings (12-30) host the Portland Trail Blazers (21-22) on Sunday, January 18 at 9:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center in NBA action. Final score: Trail Blazers 117 – Kings 110. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Trail Blazers a 52% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Kings are 9-13 at home and the Trail Blazers are 9-12 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Kings and 7-3 for the Trail Blazers (current streaks: Kings W4, Trail Blazers W2).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Kings 115 – 116 Trail Blazers, a margin of about 0.6 points in favor of the Trail Blazers and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Trail Blazers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The overall strength gap (-6.5 vs -2.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Trail Blazers' offense (115.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Kings
Team strength (adjusted point differential)SAC -6.5 / POR -2.0 per game
-4.5
Home-court advantageKings at home
+2.3
Back-to-backTrail Blazers played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Kings
-0.6

Scenarios

Kings win by 10+
20%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Trail Blazers win by 10+
23%

Stat comparison Current season

PORSAC
115.1
Points scored / game
111.8
117.4
Points allowed / game
119.4
51.1 %
Field goal %
44.5 %
38.9 %
3-point %
30.0 %
43.7
3-pointers attempted / game
32.5
70.8 %
Free throw %
73.1 %
46.3
Rebounds / game
41.5
30.7
Assists / game
22.8
8.3
Steals / game
6.8
2.7
Blocks / game
2.5
13.3
Turnovers / game
14.3

Top performers

Trail Blazers
Deni AvdijaF · #830pts / game
Deni AvdijaF · #88assists
Donovan ClinganC · #2317rebounds
Kings
Russell WestbrookG · #1823pts / game
Russell WestbrookG · #187assists
Dylan CardwellC · #3210rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
POR
No games played yet.
SAC
No games played yet.

Team comparison

PORSAC
21-22Record12-30
115.1Points scored / game111.8
117.4Points allowed / game119.4
-2.0Adjusted margin / game-6.5
W2Current streakW4
7-3Last 10 games4-6
9-12 roadHome / road record9-13 home
36-46 (-3.0)Last season40-42 (+0.5)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

Portland Trail Blazers Injury report Trail Blazers

No injuries reported.

Sacramento Kings Injury report Kings

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.