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Kings vs Trail Blazers prediction NBA · Thursday, December 18

FinalModa Center · KUNP 16, BlazerVision, NBC Sports CA
32% win SACwin POR 68%
FavoritePOR
Projected margin5.9
Projected total234
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Portland Trail Blazers (10-16) host the Sacramento Kings (6-20) on Thursday, December 18 at 10:00 PM ET at Moda Center in NBA action. Final score: Kings 133 – Trail Blazers 134. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Trail Blazers a 68% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Trail Blazers are 4-6 at home and the Kings are 3-12 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Trail Blazers and 3-7 for the Kings (current streaks: Trail Blazers W1, Kings L3).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Trail Blazers, but the Kings have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Trail Blazers 120 – 114 Kings, a margin of about 5.9 points in favor of the Trail Blazers and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Trail Blazers' offense (115.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Trail Blazers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)POR -2.9 / SAC -6.6 per game
+3.6
Home-court advantageTrail Blazers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Trail Blazers
+5.9

Scenarios

Trail Blazers win by 10+
37%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
28%
Kings win by 10+
10%

Stat comparison Current season

SACPOR
112.4
Points scored / game
115.9
120.1
Points allowed / game
119.4
44.5 %
Field goal %
51.1 %
30.0 %
3-point %
38.9 %
32.5
3-pointers attempted / game
43.7
73.1 %
Free throw %
70.8 %
41.5
Rebounds / game
46.3
22.8
Assists / game
30.7
6.8
Steals / game
8.3
2.5
Blocks / game
2.7
14.3
Turnovers / game
13.3

Top performers

Kings
DeMar DeRozanG · #1033pts / game
Russell WestbrookG · #1810assists
Maxime RaynaudC · #4211rebounds
Trail Blazers
Deni AvdijaF · #835pts / game
Deni AvdijaF · #85assists
Jerami GrantF · #39rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
SAC
No games played yet.
POR
No games played yet.

Team comparison

SACPOR
6-20Record10-16
112.4Points scored / game115.9
120.1Points allowed / game119.4
-6.6Adjusted margin / game-2.9
L3Current streakW1
3-7Last 10 games3-7
3-12 roadHome / road record4-6 home
40-42 (+0.5)Last season36-46 (-3.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Sacramento Kings Injury report Kings

No injuries reported.

Portland Trail Blazers Injury report Trail Blazers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.