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Trail Blazers vs Kings prediction NBA · Saturday, December 20

FinalGolden 1 Center · NBC Sports CA, KUNP 16, BlazerVision, NBA League Pass
54% win PORwin SAC 46%
FavoritePOR
Projected margin1.3
Projected total235
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Sacramento Kings (6-21) host the Portland Trail Blazers (11-16) on Saturday, December 20 at 10:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center in NBA action. Final score: Trail Blazers 98 – Kings 93. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Trail Blazers a 54% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Kings are 3-8 at home and the Trail Blazers are 6-10 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Kings and 4-6 for the Trail Blazers (current streaks: Kings L4, Trail Blazers W2).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Kings 117 – 118 Trail Blazers, a margin of about 1.3 points in favor of the Trail Blazers and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Trail Blazers' offense (116.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Kings
Team strength (adjusted point differential)SAC -6.4 / POR -2.8 per game
-3.6
Home-court advantageKings at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Kings
-1.3

Scenarios

Kings win by 10+
18%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Trail Blazers win by 10+
24%

Stat comparison Current season

PORSAC
116.4
Points scored / game
112.9
119.7
Points allowed / game
120.5
51.1 %
Field goal %
44.5 %
38.9 %
3-point %
30.0 %
43.7
3-pointers attempted / game
32.5
70.8 %
Free throw %
73.1 %
46.3
Rebounds / game
41.5
30.7
Assists / game
22.8
8.3
Steals / game
6.8
2.7
Blocks / game
2.5
13.3
Turnovers / game
14.3

Top performers

Trail Blazers
Deni AvdijaF · #824pts / game
Deni AvdijaF · #811assists
Donovan ClinganC · #2314rebounds
Kings
Dennis SchroderG · #1721pts / game
Russell WestbrookG · #187assists
Maxime RaynaudC · #4211rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
POR
No games played yet.
SAC
No games played yet.

Team comparison

PORSAC
11-16Record6-21
116.4Points scored / game112.9
119.7Points allowed / game120.5
-2.8Adjusted margin / game-6.4
W2Current streakL4
4-6Last 10 games2-8
6-10 roadHome / road record3-8 home
36-46 (-3.0)Last season40-42 (+0.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Portland Trail Blazers Injury report Trail Blazers

No injuries reported.

Sacramento Kings Injury report Kings

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.