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Kings vs Trail Blazers prediction NBA · Sunday, April 12

FinalModa Center · KUNP 16, BlazerVision, NBC Sports CA, NBA League Pass
24% win SACwin POR 76%
FavoritePOR
Projected margin9.0
Projected total231
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Portland Trail Blazers (41-40) host the Sacramento Kings (22-59) on Sunday, April 12 at 8:30 PM ET at Moda Center in NBA action. Final score: Kings 110 – Trail Blazers 122. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Trail Blazers a 76% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Trail Blazers are 23-17 at home and the Kings are 7-33 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Trail Blazers and 4-6 for the Kings (current streaks: Trail Blazers W1, Kings W1).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Trail Blazers dominate this matchup. The model projects Trail Blazers 120 – 111 Kings, a margin of about 9.0 points in favor of the Trail Blazers and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (-0.7 vs -7.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Trail Blazers' offense (114.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Trail Blazers' defense allows clearly fewer points (115.6 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Trail Blazers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)POR -0.7 / SAC -7.3 per game
+6.7
Home-court advantageTrail Blazers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Trail Blazers
+9.0

Scenarios

Trail Blazers win by 10+
47%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
24%
Kings win by 10+
6%

Stat comparison Current season

SACPOR
111.6
Points scored / game
114.8
120.2
Points allowed / game
115.6
44.5 %
Field goal %
51.1 %
30.0 %
3-point %
38.9 %
32.5
3-pointers attempted / game
43.7
73.1 %
Free throw %
70.8 %
41.5
Rebounds / game
46.3
22.8
Assists / game
30.7
6.8
Steals / game
8.3
2.5
Blocks / game
2.7
14.3
Turnovers / game
13.3

Top performers

Kings
Precious AchiuwaF · #927pts / game
Devin CarterG · #998assists
Precious AchiuwaF · #911rebounds
Trail Blazers
Deni AvdijaF · #825pts / game
Deni AvdijaF · #810assists
Donovan ClinganC · #2310rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
SAC
No games played yet.
POR
No games played yet.

Team comparison

SACPOR
22-59Record41-40
111.6Points scored / game114.8
120.2Points allowed / game115.6
-7.3Adjusted margin / game-0.7
W1Current streakW1
4-6Last 10 games6-4
7-33 roadHome / road record23-17 home
40-42 (+0.5)Last season36-46 (-3.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Sacramento Kings Injury report Kings

No injuries reported.

Portland Trail Blazers Injury report Trail Blazers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.