Celtics vs Raptors prediction NBA · Friday, October 10
At a glance
The Toronto Raptors host the Boston Celtics on Friday, October 10 at 7:00 PM ET at Scotiabank Arena in NBA action. Final score: Celtics 105 – Raptors 107. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 77% chance to win: prediction missed.
The analysis Model
On paper, the Celtics dominate this matchup. The model projects Raptors 108 – 117 Celtics, a margin of about 9.1 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 225 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (-3.6 vs +7.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Raptors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Celtics' offense (116.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (107.2 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
BOSTOR
Top performers
Celtics
Chris BoucherF · #9919pts / game
Baylor ScheiermanG · #556assistsChris BoucherF · #999reboundsRaptors
Gradey DickG · #922pts / game
Chucky HepburnG · #248assistsGradey DickG · #96reboundsRecent form
BOSTORHead-to-head
BOS lead 4-0 this season.
BOS
Team comparison
| BOS | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Record | 2-1 |
| 116.3 | Points scored / game | 110.9 |
| 107.2 | Points allowed / game | 115.2 |
| +7.7 | Adjusted margin / game | -3.6 |
| – | Current streak | – |
| – | Last 10 games | – |
| – | Home / road record | – |
| 61-21 (+9.1) | Last season | 30-52 (-4.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Celtics
Injury report Raptors
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.