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Pistons vs Bucks prediction NBA · Thursday, October 9

FinalFiserv Forum · NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN DET, FanDuel SN WI
Detroit Pistons
Detroit Pistons
1-1 · away
Final score
111-117
Projected: 113-116
Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee Bucks
2-0 · home
41% win DETwin MIL 59%
FavoriteMIL
Projected margin2.8
Projected total229
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Milwaukee Bucks host the Detroit Pistons on Thursday, October 9 at 8:00 PM ET at Fiserv Forum in NBA action. Final score: Pistons 111 – Bucks 117. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Bucks a 59% chance to win: prediction correct.

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Bucks, but the Pistons have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Bucks 116 – 113 Pistons, a margin of about 2.8 points in favor of the Bucks and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The Pistons need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bucks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MIL +2.1 / DET +1.6 per game
+0.5
Home-court advantageBucks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Bucks
+2.8

Scenarios

Bucks win by 10+
28%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Pistons win by 10+
15%

Stat comparison Current season

DETMIL
115.5
Points scored / game
115.5
113.6
Points allowed / game
113.0
45.9 %
Field goal %
44.9 %
37.9 %
3-point %
34.0 %
36.4
3-pointers attempted / game
41.2
74.4 %
Free throw %
71.6 %
46.8
Rebounds / game
49.8
27.0
Assists / game
24.6
8.0
Steals / game
5.8
7.2
Blocks / game
4.0
15.6
Turnovers / game
16.8

Top performers

Pistons
Cade CunninghamG · #226pts / game
Cade CunninghamG · #26assists
Cade CunninghamG · #26rebounds
Bucks
AJ GreenG · #2022pts / game
Cole AnthonyG · #505assists
Cole AnthonyG · #507rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
DET
No games played yet.
MIL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

DETMIL
1-1Record2-0
115.5Points scored / game115.5
113.6Points allowed / game113.0
+1.6Adjusted margin / game+2.1
–Current streak–
–Last 10 games–
–Home / road record–
44-38 (+1.9)Last season48-34 (+2.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Detroit Pistons Injury report Pistons

No injuries reported.

Milwaukee Bucks Injury report Bucks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.