Bucks vs Pistons prediction NBA · Saturday, December 6
At a glance
The Detroit Pistons (18-5) host the Milwaukee Bucks (10-14) on Saturday, December 6 at 7:30 PM ET at Little Caesars Arena in NBA action. Final score: Bucks 112 – Pistons 124. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 70% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pistons are 10-2 at home and the Bucks are 3-7 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Pistons and 2-8 for the Bucks (current streaks: Pistons W1, Bucks L1).
The analysis Model
The Pistons are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Pistons 118 – 112 Bucks, a margin of about 6.5 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Pistons and the Bucks played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+3.4 vs -0.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Bucks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MILDET
Top performers
Bucks
Kevin Porter Jr.G · #732pts / gameKevin Porter Jr.G · #76assists
Bobby PortisF · #957reboundsPistons
Cade CunninghamG · #223pts / gameCade CunninghamG · #212assists
Jalen DurenC · #016reboundsRecent form
MILDETHead-to-head
DET lead 3-1 this season.
DET
Team comparison
| MIL | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| 10-14 | Record | 18-5 |
| 115.3 | Points scored / game | 117.5 |
| 116.2 | Points allowed / game | 113.4 |
| -0.7 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.4 |
| L1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 2-8 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 3-7 road | Home / road record | 10-2 home |
| 48-34 (+2.5) | Last season | 44-38 (+1.9) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Bucks
Injury report Pistons
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.