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Pistons vs Bucks prediction NBA · Wednesday, December 3

FinalFiserv Forum · FanDuel SN WI, FanDuel SN DET, NBA League Pass
56% win DETwin MIL 44%
FavoriteDET
Projected margin1.8
Projected total232
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Milwaukee Bucks (9-13) host the Detroit Pistons (17-4) on Wednesday, December 3 at 8:00 PM ET at Fiserv Forum in NBA action. Final score: Pistons 109 – Bucks 113. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 56% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Bucks are 6-6 at home and the Pistons are 8-2 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Bucks and 8-2 for the Pistons (current streaks: Bucks L1, Pistons W2).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Bucks 115 – 117 Pistons, a margin of about 1.8 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 232 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (-0.5 vs +3.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Bucks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.3 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bucks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MIL -0.5 / DET +3.6 per game
-4.1
Home-court advantageBucks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Bucks
-1.8

Scenarios

Bucks win by 10+
17%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Pistons win by 10+
26%

Stat comparison Current season

DETMIL
117.6
Points scored / game
115.8
113.3
Points allowed / game
116.4
45.9 %
Field goal %
44.9 %
37.9 %
3-point %
34.0 %
36.4
3-pointers attempted / game
41.2
74.4 %
Free throw %
71.6 %
46.8
Rebounds / game
49.8
27.0
Assists / game
24.6
8.0
Steals / game
5.8
7.2
Blocks / game
4.0
15.6
Turnovers / game
16.8

Top performers

Pistons
Tobias HarrisF · #2320pts / game
Cade CunninghamG · #27assists
Cade CunninghamG · #27rebounds
Bucks
Kevin Porter Jr.G · #726pts / game
Ryan RollinsG · #138assists
Jericho SimsC · #0014rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
DET
No games played yet.
MIL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

DETMIL
17-4Record9-13
117.6Points scored / game115.8
113.3Points allowed / game116.4
+3.6Adjusted margin / game-0.5
W2Current streakL1
8-2Last 10 games2-8
8-2 roadHome / road record6-6 home
44-38 (+1.9)Last season48-34 (+2.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Detroit Pistons Injury report Pistons

No injuries reported.

Milwaukee Bucks Injury report Bucks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.