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Pistons vs Bucks prediction NBA · Saturday, November 22

FinalFiserv Forum · FanDuel SN DET, FanDuel SN WI, NBA TV
Detroit Pistons
Detroit Pistons
14-2 · away
Final score
129-116
Projected: 117-115
Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee Bucks
8-9 · home
55% win DETwin MIL 45%
FavoriteDET
Projected margin1.5
Projected total232
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Milwaukee Bucks (8-8) host the Detroit Pistons (13-2) on Saturday, November 22 at 8:00 PM ET at Fiserv Forum in NBA action. Final score: Pistons 129 – Bucks 116. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 55% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Bucks are 5-4 at home and the Pistons are 5-1 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Bucks and 10-0 for the Pistons (current streaks: Bucks L3, Pistons W11).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Bucks 115 – 117 Pistons, a margin of about 1.5 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 232 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Bucks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.8 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bucks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MIL +0.1 / DET +3.9 per game
-3.8
Home-court advantageBucks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Bucks
-1.5

Scenarios

Bucks win by 10+
18%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Pistons win by 10+
25%

Stat comparison Current season

DETMIL
117.4
Points scored / game
116.6
112.8
Points allowed / game
116.4
45.9 %
Field goal %
44.9 %
37.9 %
3-point %
34.0 %
36.4
3-pointers attempted / game
41.2
74.4 %
Free throw %
71.6 %
46.8
Rebounds / game
49.8
27.0
Assists / game
24.6
8.0
Steals / game
5.8
7.2
Blocks / game
4.0
15.6
Turnovers / game
16.8

Top performers

Pistons
Cade CunninghamG · #229pts / game
Cade CunninghamG · #210assists
Cade CunninghamG · #28rebounds
Bucks
Ryan RollinsG · #1324pts / game
Ryan RollinsG · #137assists
Bobby PortisF · #957rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
DET
No games played yet.
MIL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

DETMIL
13-2Record8-8
117.4Points scored / game116.6
112.8Points allowed / game116.4
+3.9Adjusted margin / game+0.1
W11Current streakL3
10-0Last 10 games4-6
5-1 roadHome / road record5-4 home
44-38 (+1.9)Last season48-34 (+2.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Detroit Pistons Injury report Pistons

No injuries reported.

Milwaukee Bucks Injury report Bucks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.