Bucks vs Pistons prediction NBA · Wednesday, April 8
At a glance
The Detroit Pistons (57-22) host the Milwaukee Bucks (31-48) on Wednesday, April 8 at 7:00 PM ET at Little Caesars Arena in NBA action. Final score: Bucks 111 – Pistons 137. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 87% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pistons are 31-9 at home and the Bucks are 13-26 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Pistons and 3-7 for the Bucks (current streaks: Pistons L1, Bucks L1).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Pistons dominate this matchup. The model projects Pistons 120 – 106 Bucks, a margin of about 14.0 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Bucks played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+5.9 vs -4.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Bucks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Pistons' offense (117.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.1 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MILDET
Top performers
Bucks
Ryan RollinsG · #1323pts / game
Jericho SimsC · #0010assistsJericho SimsC · #0011reboundsPistons
Jalen DurenC · #021pts / game
Cade CunninghamG · #210assistsJalen DurenC · #09reboundsRecent form
MILDETHead-to-head
DET lead 3-1 this season.
DET
Team comparison
| MIL | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-48 | Record | 57-22 |
| 111.2 | Points scored / game | 117.1 |
| 116.1 | Points allowed / game | 110.1 |
| -4.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +5.9 |
| L1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 13-26 road | Home / road record | 31-9 home |
| 48-34 (+2.5) | Last season | 44-38 (+1.9) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Bucks
Injury report Pistons
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.