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Raptors vs Knicks prediction NBA · Friday, April 10

FinalMadison Square Garden · MSG, DAZN (MSG), TSN, NBA League Pass
31% win TORwin NY 69%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin6.1
Projected total225
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The New York Knicks (53-28) host the Toronto Raptors (45-35) on Friday, April 10 at 7:30 PM ET at Madison Square Garden in NBA action. Final score: Raptors 95 – Knicks 112. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 69% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Knicks are 30-9 at home and the Raptors are 22-18 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Knicks and 6-4 for the Raptors (current streaks: Knicks W4, Raptors W2).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Knicks, but the Raptors have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Knicks 116 – 110 Raptors, a margin of about 6.1 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 225 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Knicks and the Raptors played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Raptors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Knicks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)NY +5.3 / TOR +1.5 per game
+3.8
Home-court advantageKnicks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Knicks
+6.1

Scenarios

Knicks win by 10+
38%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
28%
Raptors win by 10+
10%

Stat comparison Current season

TORNY
114.1
Points scored / game
116.7
112.4
Points allowed / game
110.5
44.2 %
Field goal %
42.2 %
30.4 %
3-point %
35.9 %
34.5
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
79.0 %
Free throw %
75.8 %
45.8
Rebounds / game
48.2
27.3
Assists / game
26.8
14.3
Steals / game
7.2
5.5
Blocks / game
4.4
14.0
Turnovers / game
14.8

Top performers

Raptors
Sandro MamukelashviliF · #5417pts / game
Brandon IngramF · #76assists
Sandro MamukelashviliF · #548rebounds
Knicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1129pts / game
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #325assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3210rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
TOR
No games played yet.
NY
No games played yet.

Team comparison

TORNY
45-35Record53-28
114.1Points scored / game116.7
112.4Points allowed / game110.5
+1.5Adjusted margin / game+5.3
W2Current streakW4
6-4Last 10 games7-3
22-18 roadHome / road record30-9 home
30-52 (-4.3)Last season51-31 (+4.1)
YesPlayed yesterdayYes

Toronto Raptors Injury report Raptors

No injuries reported.

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.