Knicks vs Raptors prediction NBA · Wednesday, January 28
At a glance
The Toronto Raptors (29-19) host the New York Knicks (29-18) on Wednesday, January 28 at 7:30 PM ET at Scotiabank Arena in NBA action. Final score: Knicks 119 – Raptors 92. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Raptors a 53% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Raptors are 13-10 at home and the Knicks are 10-12 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Raptors and 5-5 for the Knicks (current streaks: Raptors W4, Knicks W3).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Raptors 114 – 113 Knicks, a margin of about 0.8 points in favor of the Raptors and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Knicks played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The Knicks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Knicks' offense (117.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
NYTOR
Top performers
Knicks
Mikal BridgesG · #2530pts / game
Tyler KolekG · #1310assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3222reboundsRaptors
Brandon IngramF · #727pts / game
Scottie BarnesF · #45assistsScottie BarnesF · #410reboundsRecent form
NYTORHead-to-head
NY lead 5-0 this season.
TOR
Team comparison
| NY | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-18 | Record | 29-19 |
| 117.2 | Points scored / game | 113.4 |
| 112.8 | Points allowed / game | 112.6 |
| +3.8 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.7 |
| W3 | Current streak | W4 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 10-12 road | Home / road record | 13-10 home |
| 51-31 (+4.1) | Last season | 30-52 (-4.3) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Knicks
Injury report Raptors
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.