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Raptors vs Knicks prediction NBA · Sunday, November 30

FinalMadison Square Garden · MSG, DAZN (MSG), TSN, NBA League Pass
29% win TORwin NY 71%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin6.9
Projected total229
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The New York Knicks (12-6) host the Toronto Raptors (14-6) on Sunday, November 30 at 6:00 PM ET at Madison Square Garden in NBA action. Final score: Raptors 94 – Knicks 116. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 71% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Knicks are 9-1 at home and the Raptors are 7-4 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Knicks and 9-1 for the Raptors (current streaks: Knicks W3, Raptors L1).

The analysis Model

The Knicks are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Knicks 118 – 111 Raptors, a margin of about 6.9 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Raptors played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Raptors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Knicks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)NY +4.8 / TOR +1.8 per game
+3.0
Home-court advantageKnicks at home
+2.3
Back-to-backRaptors played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Knicks
+6.9

Scenarios

Knicks win by 10+
40%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
27%
Raptors win by 10+
9%

Stat comparison Current season

TORNY
115.8
Points scored / game
118.7
113.7
Points allowed / game
113.1
44.2 %
Field goal %
42.2 %
30.4 %
3-point %
35.9 %
34.5
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
79.0 %
Free throw %
75.8 %
45.8
Rebounds / game
48.2
27.3
Assists / game
26.8
14.3
Steals / game
7.2
5.5
Blocks / game
4.4
14.0
Turnovers / game
14.8

Top performers

Raptors
Immanuel QuickleyG · #519pts / game
Immanuel QuickleyG · #58assists
Collin Murray-BoylesF · #308rebounds
Knicks
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3222pts / game
Josh HartG · #37assists
Mitchell RobinsonC · #415rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
TOR
No games played yet.
NY
No games played yet.

Team comparison

TORNY
14-6Record12-6
115.8Points scored / game118.7
113.7Points allowed / game113.1
+1.8Adjusted margin / game+4.8
L1Current streakW3
9-1Last 10 games7-3
7-4 roadHome / road record9-1 home
30-52 (-4.3)Last season51-31 (+4.1)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

Toronto Raptors Injury report Raptors

No injuries reported.

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.