Login
Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Knicks vs Raptors prediction NBA · Tuesday, December 9

FinalScotiabank Arena · Prime Video, Sportsnet, DAZN (MSG)
New York Knicks
New York Knicks
17-7 · away
Final score
117-101
Projected: 117-113
Toronto Raptors
Toronto Raptors
15-11 · home
60% win NYwin TOR 40%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin3.2
Projected total230
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Toronto Raptors (15-10) host the New York Knicks (16-7) on Tuesday, December 9 at 8:30 PM ET at Scotiabank Arena in NBA action. Final score: Knicks 117 – Raptors 101. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 60% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Raptors are 8-5 at home and the Knicks are 3-6 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Raptors and 8-2 for the Knicks (current streaks: Raptors L3, Knicks W3).

The analysis Model

The Knicks are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Raptors 113 – 117 Knicks, a margin of about 3.2 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (+0.3 vs +5.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Raptors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Knicks' offense (119.0 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Raptors
Team strength (adjusted point differential)TOR +0.3 / NY +5.8 per game
-5.5
Home-court advantageRaptors at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Raptors
-3.2

Scenarios

Raptors win by 10+
15%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Knicks win by 10+
29%

Stat comparison Current season

NYTOR
119.0
Points scored / game
114.6
112.1
Points allowed / game
114.2
42.2 %
Field goal %
44.2 %
35.9 %
3-point %
30.4 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
34.5
75.8 %
Free throw %
79.0 %
48.2
Rebounds / game
45.8
26.8
Assists / game
27.3
7.2
Steals / game
14.3
4.4
Blocks / game
5.5
14.8
Turnovers / game
14.0

Top performers

Knicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1135pts / game
Jalen BrunsonG · #114assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3216rebounds
Raptors
Brandon IngramF · #731pts / game
Jamal SheadG · #238assists
Jakob PoeltlC · #199rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
NY
No games played yet.
TOR
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

NY lead 5-0 this season.

Nov 30TOR94 - 116NYDec 9NY117 - 101TORJan 28NY119 - 92TORMar 3NY111 - 95TORApr 10TOR95 - 112NY

Team comparison

NYTOR
16-7Record15-10
119.0Points scored / game114.6
112.1Points allowed / game114.2
+5.8Adjusted margin / game+0.3
W3Current streakL3
8-2Last 10 games5-5
3-6 roadHome / road record8-5 home
51-31 (+4.1)Last season30-52 (-4.3)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Toronto Raptors Injury report Raptors

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.