Grizzlies vs Nuggets prediction NBA · Wednesday, April 8
At a glance
The Denver Nuggets (51-28) host the Memphis Grizzlies (25-54) on Wednesday, April 8 at 9:00 PM ET at Ball Arena in NBA action. Final score: Grizzlies 119 – Nuggets 136. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 77% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Nuggets are 26-13 at home and the Grizzlies are 11-27 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 9-1 for the Nuggets and 1-9 for the Grizzlies (current streaks: Nuggets W9, Grizzlies L5).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Nuggets dominate this matchup. The model projects Nuggets 123 – 114 Grizzlies, a margin of about 9.4 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 237 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+3.9 vs -3.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Grizzlies need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Nuggets' offense (121.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MEMDEN
Top performers
Grizzlies
Cedric CowardF · #2327pts / game
Jahmai MashackG · #217assists
Dariq WhiteheadF · #07reboundsNuggets
Jamal MurrayG · #2726pts / game
Nikola JokicC · #1510assistsNikola JokicC · #1516reboundsRecent form
MEMDENHead-to-head
DEN lead 4-1 this season.
DEN
Team comparison
| MEM | DEN | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-54 | Record | 51-28 |
| 115.9 | Points scored / game | 121.6 |
| 119.6 | Points allowed / game | 117.0 |
| -3.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.9 |
| L5 | Current streak | W9 |
| 1-9 | Last 10 games | 9-1 |
| 11-27 road | Home / road record | 26-13 home |
| 48-34 (+4.9) | Last season | 50-32 (+3.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Grizzlies
Injury report Nuggets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.