Grizzlies vs Nuggets prediction NBA · Wednesday, February 11
At a glance
The Denver Nuggets (34-20) host the Memphis Grizzlies (20-32) on Wednesday, February 11 at 9:00 PM ET at Ball Arena in NBA action. Final score: Grizzlies 116 – Nuggets 122. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 69% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Nuggets are 14-11 at home and the Grizzlies are 9-17 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Nuggets and 2-8 for the Grizzlies (current streaks: Nuggets L1, Grizzlies L3).
The analysis Model
The Nuggets are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Nuggets 121 – 114 Grizzlies, a margin of about 6.4 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+3.4 vs -0.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Grizzlies need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Nuggets' offense (120.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MEMDEN
Top performers
Grizzlies
GG JacksonF · #4521pts / game
Cam SpencerG · #249assistsGG JacksonF · #455reboundsNuggets
Nikola JokicC · #1526pts / gameNikola JokicC · #1511assistsNikola JokicC · #1515reboundsRecent form
MEMDENHead-to-head
DEN lead 4-1 this season.
DEN
Team comparison
| MEM | DEN | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-32 | Record | 34-20 |
| 116.5 | Points scored / game | 120.4 |
| 117.3 | Points allowed / game | 116.4 |
| -0.7 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.4 |
| L3 | Current streak | L1 |
| 2-8 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 9-17 road | Home / road record | 14-11 home |
| 48-34 (+4.9) | Last season | 50-32 (+3.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Grizzlies
Injury report Nuggets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.