Nuggets vs Grizzlies prediction NBA · Monday, November 24
At a glance
The Memphis Grizzlies (6-11) host the Denver Nuggets (12-4) on Monday, November 24 at 8:00 PM ET at FedExForum in NBA action. Final score: Nuggets 125 – Grizzlies 115. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 64% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Grizzlies are 4-5 at home and the Nuggets are 6-2 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Grizzlies and 8-2 for the Nuggets (current streaks: Grizzlies W2, Nuggets L1).
The analysis Model
The Nuggets are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Grizzlies 115 – 120 Nuggets, a margin of about 4.4 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-0.5 vs +6.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Grizzlies need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Nuggets' offense (122.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DENMEM
Top performers
Nuggets
Jamal MurrayG · #2729pts / game
Nikola JokicC · #1516assistsNikola JokicC · #1510reboundsGrizzlies
Jock LandaleC · #3126pts / game
Vince Williams Jr.G · #07assistsJock LandaleC · #3110reboundsRecent form
DENMEMHead-to-head
DEN lead 4-1 this season.
DEN
Team comparison
| DEN | MEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 12-4 | Record | 6-11 |
| 122.5 | Points scored / game | 116.1 |
| 115.1 | Points allowed / game | 116.6 |
| +6.3 | Adjusted margin / game | -0.5 |
| L1 | Current streak | W2 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 games | 3-7 |
| 6-2 road | Home / road record | 4-5 home |
| 50-32 (+3.9) | Last season | 48-34 (+4.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Nuggets
Injury report Grizzlies
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.