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Nuggets vs Grizzlies prediction NBA · Sunday, January 25

FinalFedExForum · FanDuel SN SE, Altitude 2 Sports
54% win DENwin MEM 46%
FavoriteDEN
Projected margin1.2
Projected total235
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Memphis Grizzlies (18-25) host the Denver Nuggets (31-15) on Sunday, January 25 at 3:30 PM ET at FedExForum in NBA action. Final score: Nuggets 0 – Grizzlies 0. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 54% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Grizzlies are 10-13 at home and the Nuggets are 19-7 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Grizzlies and 7-3 for the Nuggets (current streaks: Grizzlies L2, Nuggets W2).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Grizzlies 117 – 118 Nuggets, a margin of about 1.2 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Grizzlies need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Nuggets' offense (120.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Grizzlies
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MEM +0.2 / DEN +3.7 per game
-3.5
Home-court advantageGrizzlies at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Grizzlies
-1.2

Scenarios

Grizzlies win by 10+
18%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Nuggets win by 10+
24%

Stat comparison Current season

DENMEM
120.7
Points scored / game
116.9
116.3
Points allowed / game
116.7
45.8 %
Field goal %
45.3 %
32.8 %
3-point %
39.1 %
34.3
3-pointers attempted / game
37.8
79.6 %
Free throw %
82.8 %
44.5
Rebounds / game
50.0
26.0
Assists / game
25.0
10.0
Steals / game
6.3
4.8
Blocks / game
6.3
15.3
Turnovers / game
15.5

Top performers

Nuggets
No data yet.
Grizzlies
No data yet.

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
DEN
No games played yet.
MEM
No games played yet.

Team comparison

DENMEM
31-15Record18-25
120.7Points scored / game116.9
116.3Points allowed / game116.7
+3.7Adjusted margin / game+0.2
W2Current streakL2
7-3Last 10 games3-7
19-7 roadHome / road record10-13 home
50-32 (+3.9)Last season48-34 (+4.9)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Denver Nuggets Injury report Nuggets

No injuries reported.

Memphis Grizzlies Injury report Grizzlies

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.