Pacers vs Bucks prediction NBA · Sunday, March 15
At a glance
The Milwaukee Bucks (27-39) host the Indiana Pacers (15-52) on Sunday, March 15 at 3:30 PM ET at Fiserv Forum in NBA action. Final score: Pacers 123 – Bucks 134. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Bucks a 60% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Bucks are 15-18 at home and the Pacers are 5-28 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Bucks and 0-10 for the Pacers (current streaks: Bucks L4, Pacers L12).
The analysis Model
The Bucks are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Bucks 115 – 112 Pacers, a margin of about 3.3 points in favor of the Bucks and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Bucks played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Bucks' defense allows clearly fewer points (115.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
INDMIL
Top performers
Pacers
Aaron NesmithG · #2332pts / game
T.J. McConnellG · #911assists
Jarace WalkerF · #58reboundsBucks
Giannis AntetokounmpoF · #731pts / gameGiannis AntetokounmpoF · #78assistsGiannis AntetokounmpoF · #714reboundsRecent form
INDMILHead-to-head
MIL lead 4-0 this season.
MIL
Team comparison
| IND | MIL | |
|---|---|---|
| 15-52 | Record | 27-39 |
| 112.0 | Points scored / game | 111.6 |
| 119.0 | Points allowed / game | 115.5 |
| -6.0 | Adjusted margin / game | -3.4 |
| L12 | Current streak | L4 |
| 0-10 | Last 10 games | 2-8 |
| 5-28 road | Home / road record | 15-18 home |
| 50-32 (+2.2) | Last season | 48-34 (+2.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Pacers
Injury report Bucks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.