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Bucks vs Pacers prediction NBA · Monday, November 3

FinalGainbridge Fieldhouse · FanDuel SN IN, FanDuel SN WI, NBA League Pass
Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee Bucks
5-2 · away
Final score
117-115
Projected: 117-116
Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers
1-6 · home
56% win MILwin IND 44%
FavoriteMIL
Projected margin1.8
Projected total233
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Indiana Pacers (1-5) host the Milwaukee Bucks (4-2) on Monday, November 3 at 7:00 PM ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in NBA action. Final score: Bucks 117 – Pacers 115. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Bucks a 56% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pacers are 1-2 at home and the Bucks are 1-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-5 for the Pacers and 4-2 for the Bucks (current streaks: Pacers W1, Bucks L1).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Pacers 116 – 117 Bucks, a margin of about 1.8 points in favor of the Bucks and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (-1.2 vs +2.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Pacers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)IND -1.2 / MIL +2.9 per game
-4.1
Home-court advantagePacers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Pacers
-1.8

Scenarios

Pacers win by 10+
17%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Bucks win by 10+
26%

Stat comparison Current season

MILIND
118.2
Points scored / game
115.7
114.8
Points allowed / game
117.1
44.9 %
Field goal %
47.1 %
34.0 %
3-point %
31.2 %
41.2
3-pointers attempted / game
37.8
71.6 %
Free throw %
72.7 %
49.8
Rebounds / game
44.0
24.6
Assists / game
29.4
5.8
Steals / game
6.4
4.0
Blocks / game
4.8
16.8
Turnovers / game
14.8

Top performers

Bucks
Giannis AntetokounmpoF · #733pts / game
Ryan RollinsG · #137assists
Giannis AntetokounmpoF · #713rebounds
Pacers
Pascal SiakamF · #4332pts / game
Pascal SiakamF · #438assists
Isaiah JacksonF · #2310rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MIL
No games played yet.
IND
No games played yet.

Team comparison

MILIND
4-2Record1-5
118.2Points scored / game115.7
114.8Points allowed / game117.1
+2.9Adjusted margin / game-1.2
L1Current streakW1
4-2Last 10 games1-5
1-1 roadHome / road record1-2 home
48-34 (+2.5)Last season50-32 (+2.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Milwaukee Bucks Injury report Bucks

No injuries reported.

Indiana Pacers Injury report Pacers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.