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Pacers vs Bucks prediction NBA · Friday, February 6

FinalFiserv Forum · NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN IN, FanDuel SN WI
34% win INDwin MIL 66%
FavoriteMIL
Projected margin5.0
Projected total229
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Milwaukee Bucks (20-29) host the Indiana Pacers (13-38) on Friday, February 6 at 8:00 PM ET at Fiserv Forum in NBA action. Final score: Pacers 99 – Bucks 105. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Bucks a 66% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Bucks are 11-12 at home and the Pacers are 3-20 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Bucks and 4-6 for the Pacers (current streaks: Bucks W2, Pacers L2).

The analysis Model

The Bucks are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Bucks 117 – 112 Pacers, a margin of about 5.0 points in favor of the Bucks and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bucks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MIL -2.3 / IND -5.0 per game
+2.7
Home-court advantageBucks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Bucks
+5.0

Scenarios

Bucks win by 10+
34%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Pacers win by 10+
12%

Stat comparison Current season

INDMIL
112.2
Points scored / game
112.8
118.0
Points allowed / game
115.5
47.1 %
Field goal %
44.9 %
31.2 %
3-point %
34.0 %
37.8
3-pointers attempted / game
41.2
72.7 %
Free throw %
71.6 %
44.0
Rebounds / game
49.8
29.4
Assists / game
24.6
6.4
Steals / game
5.8
4.8
Blocks / game
4.0
14.8
Turnovers / game
16.8

Top performers

Pacers
Andrew NembhardG · #222pts / game
Andrew NembhardG · #28assists
Jarace WalkerF · #59rebounds
Bucks
Kevin Porter Jr.G · #723pts / game
Kevin Porter Jr.G · #78assists
Jericho SimsC · #0015rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
IND
No games played yet.
MIL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

INDMIL
13-38Record20-29
112.2Points scored / game112.8
118.0Points allowed / game115.5
-5.0Adjusted margin / game-2.3
L2Current streakW2
4-6Last 10 games3-7
3-20 roadHome / road record11-12 home
50-32 (+2.2)Last season48-34 (+2.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Indiana Pacers Injury report Pacers

No injuries reported.

Milwaukee Bucks Injury report Bucks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.