Timberwolves vs Grizzlies prediction NBA · Monday, February 2
At a glance
The Memphis Grizzlies (18-29) host the Minnesota Timberwolves (31-19) on Monday, February 2 at 7:30 PM ET at FedExForum in NBA action. Final score: Timberwolves 128 – Grizzlies 137. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Timberwolves a 58% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Grizzlies are 10-15 at home and the Timberwolves are 14-11 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Grizzlies and 5-5 for the Timberwolves (current streaks: Grizzlies L6, Timberwolves W4).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Timberwolves, but the Grizzlies have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Grizzlies 115 – 117 Timberwolves, a margin of about 2.6 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 232 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-0.5 vs +4.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Grizzlies need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Timberwolves' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.2 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MINMEM
Top performers
Timberwolves
Anthony EdwardsG · #539pts / game
Julius RandleF · #308assists
Rudy GobertC · #2710reboundsGrizzlies
Jaren Jackson Jr.F · #2030pts / game
Ty JeromeG · #28assists
GG JacksonF · #458reboundsRecent form
MINMEMHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
MEM
Team comparison
| MIN | MEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-19 | Record | 18-29 |
| 118.3 | Points scored / game | 116.0 |
| 113.2 | Points allowed / game | 116.6 |
| +4.4 | Adjusted margin / game | -0.5 |
| W4 | Current streak | L6 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 2-8 |
| 14-11 road | Home / road record | 10-15 home |
| 49-33 (+5.0) | Last season | 48-34 (+4.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Timberwolves
Injury report Grizzlies
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.