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Grizzlies vs Timberwolves prediction NBA · Wednesday, December 17

FinalTarget Center · FanDuel SN North, FanDuel SN SE, NBA League Pass, NBA TV
31% win MEMwin MIN 69%
FavoriteMIN
Projected margin6.0
Projected total232
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Minnesota Timberwolves (17-9) host the Memphis Grizzlies (12-14) on Wednesday, December 17 at 8:00 PM ET at Target Center in NBA action. Final score: Grizzlies 116 – Timberwolves 110. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Timberwolves a 69% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Timberwolves are 9-4 at home and the Grizzlies are 6-7 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Timberwolves and 7-3 for the Grizzlies (current streaks: Timberwolves W2, Grizzlies W1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Timberwolves, but the Grizzlies have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Timberwolves 119 – 113 Grizzlies, a margin of about 6.0 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 232 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Grizzlies need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Timberwolves
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MIN +4.4 / MEM +0.7 per game
+3.7
Home-court advantageTimberwolves at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Timberwolves
+6.0

Scenarios

Timberwolves win by 10+
38%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
28%
Grizzlies win by 10+
10%

Stat comparison Current season

MEMMIN
116.7
Points scored / game
118.1
115.8
Points allowed / game
112.9
45.3 %
Field goal %
47.3 %
39.1 %
3-point %
38.4 %
37.8
3-pointers attempted / game
40.6
82.8 %
Free throw %
62.7 %
50.0
Rebounds / game
51.6
25.0
Assists / game
27.0
6.3
Steals / game
9.2
6.3
Blocks / game
4.4
15.5
Turnovers / game
16.2

Top performers

Grizzlies
Jaren Jackson Jr.F · #2028pts / game
Vince Williams Jr.G · #04assists
Jaren Jackson Jr.F · #2012rebounds
Timberwolves
Julius RandleF · #3021pts / game
Jaden McDanielsF · #36assists
Rudy GobertC · #2716rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MEM
No games played yet.
MIN
No games played yet.

Team comparison

MEMMIN
12-14Record17-9
116.7Points scored / game118.1
115.8Points allowed / game112.9
+0.7Adjusted margin / game+4.4
W1Current streakW2
7-3Last 10 games7-3
6-7 roadHome / road record9-4 home
48-34 (+4.9)Last season49-33 (+5.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Memphis Grizzlies Injury report Grizzlies

No injuries reported.

Minnesota Timberwolves Injury report Timberwolves

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.