Grizzlies vs Timberwolves prediction NBA · Tuesday, March 3
At a glance
The Minnesota Timberwolves (38-23) host the Memphis Grizzlies (23-36) on Tuesday, March 3 at 8:00 PM ET at Target Center in NBA action. Final score: Grizzlies 110 – Timberwolves 117. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Timberwolves a 71% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Timberwolves are 20-11 at home and the Grizzlies are 11-19 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Timberwolves and 3-7 for the Grizzlies (current streaks: Timberwolves W3, Grizzlies W2).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Timberwolves, but the Grizzlies have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Timberwolves 120 – 113 Grizzlies, a margin of about 6.9 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+3.9 vs -0.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Grizzlies need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Timberwolves' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.7 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MEMMIN
Top performers
Grizzlies
Jaylen WellsF · #019pts / game
Walter Clayton Jr.G · #19assists
GG JacksonF · #4511reboundsTimberwolves
Anthony EdwardsG · #541pts / game
Donte DiVincenzoG · #06assists
Rudy GobertC · #2712reboundsRecent form
MEMMINHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
MEM
Team comparison
| MEM | MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-36 | Record | 38-23 |
| 116.7 | Points scored / game | 118.3 |
| 117.5 | Points allowed / game | 113.7 |
| -0.7 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.9 |
| W2 | Current streak | W3 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 11-19 road | Home / road record | 20-11 home |
| 48-34 (+4.9) | Last season | 49-33 (+5.0) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Grizzlies
Injury report Timberwolves
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.