Timberwolves vs Grizzlies prediction NBA · Saturday, January 31
At a glance
The Memphis Grizzlies (18-28) host the Minnesota Timberwolves (30-19) on Saturday, January 31 at 8:00 PM ET at FedExForum in NBA action. Final score: Timberwolves 131 – Grizzlies 114. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Timberwolves a 62% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Grizzlies are 10-14 at home and the Timberwolves are 13-11 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Grizzlies and 5-5 for the Timberwolves (current streaks: Grizzlies L5, Timberwolves W3).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Timberwolves, but the Grizzlies have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Grizzlies 113 – 117 Timberwolves, a margin of about 3.8 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Grizzlies played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (-0.3 vs +4.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Grizzlies need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Timberwolves' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.1 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MINMEM
Top performers
Timberwolves
Anthony EdwardsG · #533pts / game
Julius RandleF · #307assists
Rudy GobertC · #2716reboundsGrizzlies
Ty JeromeG · #220pts / gameTy JeromeG · #26assists
Jock LandaleC · #318reboundsRecent form
MINMEMHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
MEM
Team comparison
| MIN | MEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-19 | Record | 18-28 |
| 118.1 | Points scored / game | 116.0 |
| 113.1 | Points allowed / game | 116.4 |
| +4.2 | Adjusted margin / game | -0.3 |
| W3 | Current streak | L5 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 2-8 |
| 13-11 road | Home / road record | 10-14 home |
| 49-33 (+5.0) | Last season | 48-34 (+4.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Timberwolves
Injury report Grizzlies
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.