Pacers vs Pistons prediction NBA · Saturday, January 17
At a glance
The Detroit Pistons (29-10) host the Indiana Pacers (10-32) on Saturday, January 17 at 7:30 PM ET at Little Caesars Arena in NBA action. Final score: Pacers 78 – Pistons 121. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 85% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pistons are 16-4 at home and the Pacers are 2-16 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Pistons and 4-6 for the Pacers (current streaks: Pistons W1, Pacers W1).
The analysis Model
The Pistons start with a clear edge. The model projects Pistons 120 – 107 Pacers, a margin of about 13.0 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Pacers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+4.6 vs -4.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Pistons' offense (117.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.7 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
INDDET
Top performers
Pacers
Jarace WalkerF · #513pts / game
Micah PotterC · #95assistsMicah PotterC · #99reboundsPistons
Cade CunninghamG · #216pts / gameCade CunninghamG · #25assists
Jalen DurenC · #08reboundsRecent form
INDDETHead-to-head
DET lead 4-0 this season.
IND
Team comparison
| IND | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| 10-32 | Record | 29-10 |
| 112.4 | Points scored / game | 117.1 |
| 117.6 | Points allowed / game | 111.7 |
| -4.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.6 |
| W1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 2-16 road | Home / road record | 16-4 home |
| 50-32 (+2.2) | Last season | 44-38 (+1.9) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pacers
Injury report Pistons
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.