Pistons vs Pacers prediction NBA · Sunday, April 12
At a glance
The Indiana Pacers (19-62) host the Detroit Pistons (59-22) on Sunday, April 12 at 6:00 PM ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in NBA action. Final score: Pistons 133 – Pacers 121. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 78% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pacers are 11-29 at home and the Pistons are 27-13 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Pacers and 7-3 for the Pistons (current streaks: Pacers L1, Pistons W2).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Pistons dominate this matchup. The model projects Pacers 110 – 120 Pistons, a margin of about 9.5 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-5.6 vs +6.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Pistons' offense (117.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.0 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DETIND
Top performers
Pistons
Paul ReedF · #726pts / game
Cade CunninghamG · #214assistsCade CunninghamG · #28reboundsPacers
Obi ToppinF · #121pts / game
Quenton JacksonG · #298assists
Micah PotterC · #911reboundsRecent form
DETINDHead-to-head
DET lead 4-0 this season.
IND
Team comparison
| DET | IND | |
|---|---|---|
| 59-22 | Record | 19-62 |
| 117.3 | Points scored / game | 113.0 |
| 110.0 | Points allowed / game | 119.6 |
| +6.2 | Adjusted margin / game | -5.6 |
| W2 | Current streak | L1 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 4-6 |
| 27-13 road | Home / road record | 11-29 home |
| 44-38 (+1.9) | Last season | 50-32 (+2.2) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pistons
Injury report Pacers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.