Pistons vs Pacers prediction NBA · Monday, November 24
At a glance
The Indiana Pacers (2-14) host the Detroit Pistons (14-2) on Monday, November 24 at 7:00 PM ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in NBA action. Final score: Pistons 122 – Pacers 117. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 72% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pacers are 2-5 at home and the Pistons are 6-1 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 1-9 for the Pacers and 10-0 for the Pistons (current streaks: Pacers L1, Pistons W12).
The analysis Model
The Pistons are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Pacers 112 – 119 Pistons, a margin of about 7.3 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 232 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-5.4 vs +4.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Pistons' offense (117.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DETIND
Top performers
Pistons
Cade CunninghamG · #224pts / gameCade CunninghamG · #26assists
Jalen DurenC · #012reboundsPacers
Pascal SiakamF · #4324pts / game
Andrew NembhardG · #26assistsPascal SiakamF · #438reboundsRecent form
DETINDHead-to-head
DET lead 4-0 this season.
IND
Team comparison
| DET | IND | |
|---|---|---|
| 14-2 | Record | 2-14 |
| 117.8 | Points scored / game | 113.2 |
| 112.9 | Points allowed / game | 119.6 |
| +4.2 | Adjusted margin / game | -5.4 |
| W12 | Current streak | L1 |
| 10-0 | Last 10 games | 1-9 |
| 6-1 road | Home / road record | 2-5 home |
| 44-38 (+1.9) | Last season | 50-32 (+2.2) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pistons
Injury report Pacers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.