Pacers vs Pistons prediction NBA · Monday, November 17
At a glance
The Detroit Pistons (11-2) host the Indiana Pacers (1-12) on Monday, November 17 at 7:00 PM ET at Little Caesars Arena in NBA action. Final score: Pacers 112 – Pistons 127. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 82% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pistons are 7-1 at home and the Pacers are 0-7 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 9-1 for the Pistons and 1-9 for the Pacers (current streaks: Pistons W9, Pacers L7).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Pistons dominate this matchup. The model projects Pistons 121 – 110 Pacers, a margin of about 11.2 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+3.4 vs -5.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Pistons' offense (116.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
INDDET
Top performers
Pacers
Pascal SiakamF · #4329pts / game
Andrew NembhardG · #24assists
Isaiah JacksonF · #2310reboundsPistons
Jalen DurenC · #031pts / game
Daniss JenkinsG · #248assistsJalen DurenC · #015reboundsRecent form
INDDETHead-to-head
DET lead 4-0 this season.
IND
Team comparison
| IND | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-12 | Record | 11-2 |
| 112.9 | Points scored / game | 116.9 |
| 119.3 | Points allowed / game | 112.8 |
| -5.5 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.4 |
| L7 | Current streak | W9 |
| 1-9 | Last 10 games | 9-1 |
| 0-7 road | Home / road record | 7-1 home |
| 50-32 (+2.2) | Last season | 44-38 (+1.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pacers
Injury report Pistons
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.