Trail Blazers vs Warriors prediction NBA · Tuesday, January 13
At a glance
The Golden State Warriors (21-19) host the Portland Trail Blazers (19-21) on Tuesday, January 13 at 11:00 PM ET at Chase Center in NBA action. Final score: Trail Blazers 97 – Warriors 119. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Warriors a 70% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Warriors are 13-6 at home and the Trail Blazers are 9-11 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Warriors and 7-3 for the Trail Blazers (current streaks: Warriors L1, Trail Blazers L1).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Warriors, but the Trail Blazers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Warriors 118 – 112 Trail Blazers, a margin of about 6.4 points in favor of the Warriors and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+1.8 vs -2.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Warriors' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PORGSTop performers
Trail Blazers
Shaedon SharpeG · #1719pts / game
Caleb LoveG · #87assists
Donovan ClinganC · #239reboundsWarriors
De'Anthony MeltonG · #823pts / game
Stephen CurryG · #3011assists
Draymond GreenF · #237reboundsRecent form
PORGSHead-to-head
POR lead 3-1 this season.
GS
Team comparison
| POR | GS | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-21 | Record | 21-19 |
| 115.1 | Points scored / game | 115.0 |
| 117.7 | Points allowed / game | 112.9 |
| -2.3 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.8 |
| L1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 9-11 road | Home / road record | 13-6 home |
| 36-46 (-3.0) | Last season | 48-34 (+3.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Trail Blazers
Injury report Warriors
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.