Warriors vs Trail Blazers prediction NBA · Friday, October 24
At a glance
The Portland Trail Blazers (0-1) host the Golden State Warriors (2-0) on Friday, October 24 at 10:00 PM ET at Moda Center in NBA action. Final score: Warriors 119 – Trail Blazers 139. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Warriors a 57% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Trail Blazers are 0-1 at home and the Warriors are 1-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 0-1 for the Trail Blazers and 2-0 for the Warriors (current streaks: Trail Blazers L1, Warriors W2).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Trail Blazers 111 – 114 Warriors, a margin of about 2.1 points in favor of the Warriors and a total around 225 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Warriors played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (-2.6 vs +3.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Warriors' offense (115.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
GSPOR
Top performers
Warriors
Stephen CurryG · #3035pts / game
Draymond GreenF · #235assists
Jonathan KumingaF · #248reboundsTrail Blazers
Deni AvdijaF · #826pts / game
Jrue HolidayG · #511assists
Donovan ClinganC · #238reboundsRecent form
GSPORHead-to-head
POR lead 3-1 this season.
GS
Team comparison
| GS | POR | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | Record | 0-1 |
| 115.8 | Points scored / game | 111.1 |
| 111.8 | Points allowed / game | 114.2 |
| +3.4 | Adjusted margin / game | -2.6 |
| W2 | Current streak | L1 |
| 2-0 | Last 10 games | 0-1 |
| 1-0 road | Home / road record | 0-1 home |
| 48-34 (+3.3) | Last season | 36-46 (-3.0) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Warriors
Injury report Trail Blazers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.